Grand National statisticians picked the most likely winner for 2021 - The Evesham Observer

Grand National statisticians picked the most likely winner for 2021

Evesham Editorial 28th Apr, 2021   0

THE GRAND National is one of the world’s famous and most anticipated horse races of all time.

Every year, millions of people try their luck at cracking the code but hardly get a win. The odds of breaking the code are quite less as compared to other rare scenarios. The people who bet on race make use of a variety of methods and strategies to pick the right horse and win the jackpot.

However, the statisticians have found new ways to analyse the trends and determine the winning horse in the Grand race for years.

The Grand National race

Experts from various fields and online gaming websites such as the Lottoland have among those who at times can successfully crack the code. At Lottoland, there are many winning tactics, betting games and online gambling options which keep the users glued to them.

They know how to play with the odds and come out as a winner in most situations. Their games defy the odds and let the gamers enjoy the victories. This year, Lottoland is all set to bet on the winner of the biggest race of all time.

As the guns will be fired on Saturday at 5.15 pm, they will reveal the most likely winner of 2021 and the eligible person to win the £750,000 prize.

It is such a big coincidence that when the Grand National race took place for the first time in 1839, around 180 years ago, the winner was a horse named Lottery. Since then, the race has started evolving as the biggest source of betting and gambling. For the past 70 years, the basic parameters and trends being followed to crack the winning code include the weight, average age, number of the horse, starting price and colour of the winning horse.

On the analysis of these measures from the past races, the likely winner for the coming year is chosen


Odds of winning the race

Considering the ages of all the winners since 1950, the perfect age for such a race was nine years old. The winners of this age being Talkischeap, Cloth Cap, Kimberlite Candy, Chris’s Drea, Any Second Now, Cabaret Queen and Class Conti.

Talking about the weight trend since 1950, the common average was 10st 10lbs for almost all the winners in the grand race. Weight plays a major role in deciding the winning horse such as Balko Des Flos, Kimberlite Candy, Alpha Des Obeaux and Any Second Now who all had the same average weight. Moving on to the price of the winning horse in the grand national race, the starting price has been 21/1 since the 1950s.

For some people, this year’s most favourite horse was Cloth Cap at the most ideal weight but a starting price of 4/1. His weight was one of the most money-making factors. However, the statistics were against the Cloth Cap. they are looking for an option that was between 20/1 and 22/1 of the starting price range. If that was the case, then the most likely winners could have been Farclas, Mister Malarkey, Magic of Light and Potter’s Corner.

It all depends on whom the punters are following. If they followed Rachael Blackmore previous form from Cheltenham as Champion Jockey, they would most likely opt for her as the winning horse and most importantly, the first female one.

Other than her, there will be two more female horses namely Tabitha Worsley and Bryony Frost. There are also other most prominent options such as Cabaret Queen, Shattered Love and Magic of Light. Although, there is an unknown fact that grey horses never win the race. One more winning option is Farclas because of his jockey named Jack Kennedy who won a gold cup for his win.

The most likely winner

In 2018, the statisticians from Lottoland missed the winning horse by a slight difference of 33/1 with the Pleasant Company.

This year they left no stones unturned and put all their efforts to bet on the right winning horse.

As per Lottoland, the winning horse in the grand race could have been the English runner named KimberliteCandy which will be run by Richie McLemon.

This was the best winning chance at the Aintree. Also, there was equal chances of Rachael Blackmore winning the great race as per the stats team. The female jockey stood an equal chance of winning!

This is a submitted article. 

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